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Equityseller
Posts: 14
Registered: 08-15-2010
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Summer??

I have always heard the summer home selling season begins after Super Bowl Sunday or thereabouts....there is very little inventory in the area I am watching (and in many places). Why so? Sometimes, you have to move regardless of "the market".... 

Super Contributor
BobPhillips-RE
Posts: 1,343
Registered: 12-13-2010
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Re: Summer??

[ Edited ]

Hi Equityseller,  Calling our Orange County real estate market a "summer" market, is obviously a misnomer.  

 

Let's just say that the best "selling season" typically starts around Super Bowl time, ( Although it started earlier this year.)  and develops steam into the summer months - typically late July thru early August.  During that 6 month stretch - in a normal year, not influenced by tax credits - I would imagine that 60-70% of a year's sales actually take place.

 

This year we are already starting to have a higher percentage than usual, of houses going into escrow, and due to the already lower inventory, that SHOULD bode well for you, as a seller, anytime over the next 4 or 5 months.  In my opinion, if you wait a couple of months, until at least April, and then put your house on the market, you will probably be able to take advantage of the groundswell, which is just starting, and which SHOULD result in prices being slightly higher, than they are now.

 

If you wait too long, say into July, you will probably miss the boat, and be following a slightly descending market, that typically starts in September, and nudges downward through the holidays - because there are usually fewer buyers, as we move into the fall.

 

Just out of curiosity, did you ever add that second bathroom to your house?  That would probably help net you a higher price, as well.

 

One last thing.  If you are truly an equity seller, you SHOULD be able to hold out for a slightly higher price than distressed properties being offered around you.  Buyers will frequently pay a slight premium for a property that they buy with a definite close of escrow date, which they cannot obtain on most short sale listings.

 

Good luck on making your decision.

All this, of course, is merely MY opinion. Thanks for reading.

Bob Phillips - Realty ONE Group - South Orange County, CA
Super Contributor
TrabucoDom
Posts: 1,494
Registered: 01-05-2008

Re: Summer??

[ Edited ]

BobPhillips-RE wrote:

Hi Equityseller,  Calling our Orange County real estate market a "summer" market, is obviously a misnomer.  

 

Let's just say that the best "selling season" typically starts around Super Bowl time, ( Although it started earlier this year.)  and develops steam into the summer months - typically late July thru early August.  During that 6 month stretch - in a normal year, not influenced by tax credits - I would imagine that 60-70% of a year's sales actually take place.

 

This year we are already starting to have a higher percentage than usual, of houses going into escrow, and due to the already lower inventory, that SHOULD bode well for you, as a seller, anytime over the next 4 or 5 months.  In my opinion, if you wait a couple of months, until at least April, and then put your house on the market, you will probably be able to take advantage of the groundswell, which is just starting, and which SHOULD result in prices being slightly higher, than they are now.

 

If you wait too long, say into July, you will probably miss the boat, and be following a slightly descending market, that typically starts in September, and nudges downward through the holidays - because there are usually fewer buyers, as we move into the fall.

 

Just out of curiosity, did you ever add that second bathroom to your house?  That would probably help net you a higher price, as well.

 

One last thing.  If you are truly an equity seller, you SHOULD be able to hold out for a slightly higher price than distressed properties being offered around you.  Buyers will frequently pay a slight premium for a property that they buy with a definite close of escrow date, which they cannot obtain on most short sale listings.

 

Good luck on making your decision. 


From what I see on OC graphs for listing and selling activity tracked by Redfin, the OC buying season starts an uptick in April and seems to be getting lots of steam in May for buyer actually buying houses....It looks like sellers begin listing houses in increasing volume in January, with the pace steadily increasing to around July before tapering off again through the end of the year.

 

I sure don't see any indication of it starting already....both listings and sold volume seems to be at or near 12 month lows.

 

 

5,722 houses for sale:  12% m-o-m
3,303 condos for sale:  11% m-o-m
Super Contributor
BobPhillips-RE
Posts: 1,343
Registered: 12-13-2010
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Re: Summer??

[ Edited ]

T.D., I would THINK that the answer would be obvious to you, but since it apparently hasn't occured to you, the chart you've posted is for CLOSED escrows.

 

The buyers which have been increasingly going into escrow for the past couple of weeks - a LOT of them - won't actually CLOSE those escrows until early to late March.  

 

All this, of course, is merely MY opinion. Thanks for reading.

Bob Phillips - Realty ONE Group - South Orange County, CA
Super Contributor
TrabucoDom
Posts: 1,494
Registered: 01-05-2008

Re: Summer??

You can see the OC trend for the last 2 years on this link:

 

http://www.redfin.com/county/332/CA/Orange-County

 

Scroll down to the graph and check the boxes for "# for sale" and "# sold".

Contributor
Equityseller
Posts: 14
Registered: 08-15-2010
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Re: Summer??

Hi!

 

       Thanks for your thoughts on this. No, we did not add the second bath and probably will not bother...in our area one bathroom homes are not unusual. Also, we are about ready to take a silent second off of our home (we bought thru a first time home buyer program). So we are still getting ur ducks in a row.....we have been here since 1992 and haven't ATM'ed our equity and we are not in a rush. What is tempting me is those low interest rates....  

Super Contributor
BobPhillips-RE
Posts: 1,343
Registered: 12-13-2010
0

Re: Summer??

[ Edited ]

Hi again, Equityseller.  

 

Yes, these low interest rates DO make buying very attractive.  I think you're correct about the addition.  As long as your property is pretty much the norm, for the area, you should be in good shape. 

 

Good luck in making your decisions.

All this, of course, is merely MY opinion. Thanks for reading.

Bob Phillips - Realty ONE Group - South Orange County, CA